Saturday, October 23, 2010

the basics

- the art of learning-

- incremental approach

- short term goals can be useful developmental tools if they are balanced within long term philosophy
- focus should be kept on the process of learning
- feedback to effort over results

- when win, the spotlight should be on the road to that moment and beyond as opposed to the glory (same when losing, the spotlight should be on the road to that moment not on waning and sorries). Note the lesson learned, and move on to the next adventure
- disappointment is part of the road to greatness; the thing to take is that almost every mistake have both technical and mental components
- we need to put ourselves out there, give it our all, and reap the lessons, win or lose. The fact of the matter is that there will be nothing learned from any challenge in which we don't try our hardest. Growth comes at the point of resistance. We learn by pushing ourselves and finding what really lies at the other reaches of our abilities
- in performance training, first you have to learn to flow with whatever comes, then you learn to use whatever comes to your advantage, finally, you learn to be completely self sufficient

- initial step along this path is to attain "The soft zone"
- you are concentrated on the task at hand. Then something happens. The idea is to be quietly, intensely focused, apparently relaxed, with a serene look on your face, but inside all the mental juices are churning. You flow with whatever comes, integrating every ripple of life into your creative moment. This "soft zone" is resilient, like a flexible blade of grass that can move with and survive hurricane force winds. (coping with distraction, allowing your creative states to flow)
- train to have a more resilient concentration, become at peace with the noise, integrate the environment into my creative process
- solution to adversity does not lie in denying our emotions, but in learning to use them to our advantage, to channel that mood into hightened focus
- when uncomfortable, my instinct is not to avoid the discomfort but to become at peace with it. Always seek out challenges as opposed to avoiding them
- always be aware of the importance of regaining presence and clarity of mind after making a serious error (brilliant creations are often born of small errors
- beware of the downward spiral, avoid the ripple effect of compounding errors

- investment in loss
- we must take responsibility for ourselves and not expect the rest of the world to understand what it takes to become the best that we can become. Great ones are willing to get burned time and again as they sharpen their sword in the fire

- making small circles
- the learning principle is to plunge in the detailed mystery of the micro in order to understand what makes the macro tick. Don't let yourself floating along a two-dimensional world without any sense for the gorgeous abyss below
- understanding of this process of learning is to touch the essence (highly refined and deeply internalized theories) of a technique, and then to incrementally condense the external manifestations of the technique while keeping true to its essence. Over time, expansiveness decreases while potency increases

- subtle internalization and refinement is much more important than the quantity of what is learned. Often, a profound mastery of what may well be a basic skill set, is what drives us to the top

- if i want to be the best, i have to take risks others would avoid, always optimizing the learning potential of the moment and turning adversity to my advantage. When aiming for the top, your path requiers an engaged, searching mind. You have to make obstacles spur you with creative new angles in the learning process

- it is all to easy to get caught up in the routines of our lives and to lose creativity in the learning process
- adversity is a tremendous source of creative inspiration

- slowing down time
- the road to mastery
- you start with the fundamentals, get a solid foundation fueled by understanding the principles behind theory and each element of your discipline; then you expand and refine your repertoire, guided by your individual predispositions, while keeping in touch, however abstractly, with what you feel to be the essential core of the art. What results is a network of deeply internalized, interconnected knowledge that expands from a central, personal locus point. The question of intuition relates to how that network is navigated and used as fuel for creative insight

- we are at the moment where psychology begins to transcend technique. Much of what separates the great from the very good, is deep presence, relaxation of the conscious mind, which allows the unconscious to follow unhindered. In every discipline, the ability to be clear headed, present, cool under fire is much of what separates the best from the mediocre
- in solitary pursuits this issue is even more critical; in the absence of continual external reinforcement, we must be our own monitor, and quality of presence is often the best gauge. If deep, fluid presence becomes second nature, then life, art and learning takes on a richness that will continually surprise and delight
- presence must be like breathing



- each morning, before market opens, after my training, after making my homework and market preparation make an analyze of what my mood is, how do i feel like, and what emotions do i face that particular morning. Be sincere, and make a trading plan for the day accordingly; defensive, offensive, combination of the two, or just stand aside an observe technical patterns. Always write down this data.

- define, describe and engineer precisely every action of every picture you want to trade. Define and describe each element of the picture. Describe the action that needs to happen for a particular move to take place from a starting point, one of the elements, to an intermediate or final point of the move, one of the elements; accurate details should be included along with the confidence behind the move, about how that move has to look like in order for continuation or lack of it. Make notes of how it behaved like, if offered opportunities for reentering or later entries, how that opportunities looked like, make a pattern that fits in the context.
Everything should be seen, observed and classified into the greater context of the bigger picture, the direction of the move, the location of the starting point inside the balance area, compared to the location of the value areas of each day, POC of each day, VPOC of each day and compared in the location of the same elements inside the composite profile of that balance area.
Observe and classify the location of the current balance area in regards to its location and previous balance areas, note, classify and mark down the same elements and be aware of them, include them in your scenarios and create strategies along possible moves.
Create connections, create a map of those connections made by all the elements involved and make notes of what was the result achieved, how value is moving, remember and focus on this: we are trading value, the price is just the price. About value and value moving a greater description can be found at "element value".....
- monitor and observe for things that can and should be improved, abilities that can and should maintained, changed. Constant monitor the results, along with monitoring the improvements in executing the technique. Keep focus on improving.

- every aggressive move is risky
- to attempt an aggressive move market weakens its structure, even for a short period of time, you have to be present and aware of that blink, which can manifest in different ways, to take advantage of it. Slight changes in different elements often open the doors for such opportunities. You have to make notes of these changes, how they look, how they relate with greater context of the bigger picture you previously defined, understood and visualized.
Based on all this monitored, classified data and the map of those connections you apply the right tactics of the the right picture previously defined, understood and visualized.
- deep creative plunge into an initially pool of information
- laying a solid foundation by studying simple setups first, simple interrelations between elements, simple reactions of important levels, outcome of reactions. You have to observe and study the conditions that were present facilitating the movement; observe and study the necessities of the combination of elements that were present and the relation between all the above and the final result.
- lay the foundation by knowing in detail what is the significance of each element; know how it is looking like and how it behaves under certain and different circumstances (like uptrend, downtrend, range bound, choppy, fake moves)
- know the picture of the interactions between each element with being aware of the context.
- internalize the whole principles and possibilities by sim trading, understand the theory behind them and understand the theory behind every connection between them

- then apply the internalized principles to increasingly complex scenarios

- take a simple technique, idea and practice it until you feel its essence (trades based on clear, predefined conditions to be met, by connections made of elements)
- then gradually condense the movements while maintaining their power, until we are left with an extremely potent and nearly invisible arsenal (making small circles)
- focus on a select group of techniques and internalized them until the mind perceives them in tremendous detail. After training in this manner, we can see more frames in an equal amount of time, so things feel slowed down (slowing down time)

- we use our cultivation of the last 2 principles to blend in and take the right trades, to go with the flow, in the right context, to achieve our short term goals with the focus on longer term process. And again, we do this by zooming in on very small details to which others are completely oblivious. (the illusion of the mystical)

- the beautiful thing about this approach to learning is that once we have felt the profound refinement of a skill, no matter how small it may be, we can that use that feeling as a beacon of quality as we expand our focus onto more and more material. Once you know what "good" feels like you can zero in on it, search it out regardless of the pursuit

- be aware and engage in technical after-thoughts processes
- review market action, review trades, review tactics and strategies used. Keep a good record of what you are doing and of what is going on. Review everything based on what happened and what have you done and question yourself, formulate, define what has been done good, what should be kept, what should be changed and what else can be done under the same conditions to improve your method and results. You can refine your techniques by breaking down what works and what doesn't

- work on converting that creative inspiration, instincts, in something to understand technically and usable further
- creativity it is always seen, thought of, made in relation to our foundation
- we have our knowledge
- it becomes deeply internalized until we can access it without thinking about it. (Then we have a leap that uses what we know to go one or two steps further. We make a discovery)

- you are building a pyramid of knowledge. Every level is constructed of technical information and principles that explain that information and condense it into chunks. Once you internalized enough information to complete one level of the pyramid you move onto the next
- when in a few levels of the pyramid you have a discovery which seems like suspended in the sky, above your pyramid; you should be aware that there is a connection between that discovery and what you know (or else you wouldn't have discover it) and you can find that connection if you try. The next step is to figure out the technical components of your creation. Figure out what makes the magic "tick".

- tactics come easy once principles are in the blood
- if you have a solid foundation you should be fine under any circumstances, as long as you are flexible enough to adapt and change and apply the right contextual tactics. You have to roll with the evolving situation and contour new tactics around principles already internalized



Friday, October 22, 2010

21.10.2010 market review

- pay attention to huge divergence building up at the highs; buyers creating a pressure (see the OF buying, making new highs), they pushing and pushing but without any success, the price couldn't go higher and the ES sold off of those new highs
- you can see and look for green candles on positive deltas, inside declining price and declining deltas, these are the sign of the continuation trades, offering shorting opportunities along the way
- another divergence to note is the low of the price, when momentum started to slow down and sellers dried off (OF flat), after that the price climbed to the mean

- market opened on VAH showing some strength from the ON and went to take out the ONH and to make new highs, breaking up from the balance area
- between 1184.00 - 1186.50 mkt found lots of sellers and an unbreakable R; sold off inside the IB and through the open, attracting more sellers which drove the prices further lower, extending the range down until mkt found S at 1168.75 HVN
- the VPOC moved lower
- price closed inside VA
- VA was overlapping to higher
- poor high

Thursday, October 21, 2010

20.10.2010 market review

- yesterday market reacted as expected from 19.10 day structure (double distribution with close in the middle).
- support was found at the mean of the 2 distributions
- open was in the area of the mean, it wasn't a very confident open, as price auctioned down and then back through the open; but it was more confident then the day before
- price found S at O, in B period and start a trending up, building acceptance above 19.10 high (which was a poor high)
- VA was built in the upper zone of the profile, overlapping slightly with previous day
- the shape of the profile looked like "p"
- the shape of the VP is looking as a double distribution, with separation made by singles at 1171.25
- the last swing down was stopped by VVAH of 19.10 at 1173.50

- ON profile looking like a "b" (but with a take off to the upside from a balance area); with ONL= S@11772.00 just above the singles; ONPOC@1174.75; and the ONH@1182.50 just 1 tick above the high

- initial S@1177.25=VPOC
- S1@1173.50; forming a S area between S1 and S2
- S2@1172.50(HVN)-1171.25(singles)
- levels of S identified previous still stands

- initial R@1180.00 BAH
- R1@1182.50 ONH

- the balance area scenarios applies, with an eye on the levels identified above

Tuesday, October 19, 2010

double distribution split 19.10.2010

- interesting observation, imo, of a double distribution
  • first distribution up, was made on a "P" shape, short covering, also showing that the move up is limited, not being facilitated, seen by the wide shape
  • second distribution was made on "b" shape, with price selling off of VPOC of the first distribution; also showing that the move down is limited by the wide shape of the profile to the bottom
  • this formed a double distribution day, with price closing just shy of the separation of the 2; with POC not migrating lower with price; with VA containing the first distribution and just a small part of second one
  • 1164.25, the separation should act as S/R the following day
  • not to mention the total volume for the day = 2.56 mil; the vol of the first distribution = 1.25 mil and the vol of the 2nd = 1.30 mil
- will be interesting to watch tomorrow !!!

19.10.2010 market review

the execution chart, look at OF and price

- from yesterday we could see that value was moving higher, towards the high of the balance area, with price closing at VAH and at the high of that 4 days overlapping balance area. The POC (very wide to the right), however was located in the lower half of the profile, showing the possibility of the price to revisit that area in the next trading session ??? The total volume was low (1.19 mil), so the break that occurred didn't show to much of conviction and acceptance.
- however there is a poor high at 1182.25, suggesting that the auction higher didn't finish
- the ON profile looked balanced, but inside and lower compared to 18.10 days range, with POC@1172.50 (initial R)

- 19.10 opened with gap lower, below yesterday range and VA (POC), out of balance, situation that creates opportunities
- the open was lacking conviction and confidence, price auctioned several times through that price, before attempting to close the gap

- theory: gap = a form of excess, a selling tail (in todays case), showing the presence of sellers being present with confidence through-out the ON session, driving the price way out of balance. One way to monitor the odds of a gap to be close, is to analyze it in conjunction with the type of open we have (lack of confidence, like today = lower chances for the gap to be filled, as price has to move without conviction through an area defended by confident sellers)

- in its attempt to close the gap, and after the IB was set in stone, price was rejected from VAL from yesterday (before covering the singles, going up the zipper). VAL served as a strong R, sending the price to form and look for lower value. Also another poor high was made, by double prints at 1173.75.
- price got rejected back inside the IB, after forming a small balance area at the high (see the overlapping range bars with sellers being present, shown by the OF and body of the candles)
- like expected, when price hit the OR and opening price accelarated its move down, through all S levels, being stopped at 1155.50 which happens to be the POC from the previous balance area created by the overlapping days from 05.10 to 13.10; and the so called "regression to the mean" happened.
- however the shape of the VP was a double distribution with price closing near the separation of the 2.
- price closed inside VA
- VA didn't migrate too low, after the break to the downside
- VA slightly overlapping to the high of the previous balance area
- POC didn't followed price (theory: the failure of the POC to migrate lower with price, high odds of a short covering rally the following day)

Monday, October 11, 2010

Don't compromise yourself. You're all you've got. - Janis Joplin

Win or lose you will never regret working hard, making sacrifices, being disciplined or focusing too much. -John Smith
You can't put a limit on anything. The more you dream, the farther you get. - Michael Phelps
If you are afraid of failure you don't deserve to be successful! -Charles Barkley
In order to make dreams come into reality, it takes an awful lot of determination, dedication, self-discipline, & effort. -Jesse Owens
Sometimes it is more important to discover what one cannot do than what one can do. -Lin Yutang
At one point in your life you either have the things you want or the reasons why you don’t. -Andy Roddick
My choice; my responsibility; win or lose, only I hold the keys to my destiny. -Elain Maxwell
Champions aren´t made in the gyms. Champions are made from something they have deep inside them - a desire, a dream, a vision. -Muhammad Ali
When anyone tells me I can't do anything...I'm just not listening anymore. -Florence Griffith-Joyner
It's what you get from games you lose that is extremely important. -Pat Riley
In my mind, I'm always the best. If I walk out on the court & I think the next person is better, I've already lost. -Venus Williams
Our deepest fear is not that we are inadequate. Our deepest fear is that we are powerful beyond measure. -Marianne Williamson
It's repetition of affirmations that leads to belief. & once that belief becomes a deep conviction, things begin to happen. -Muhammad Ali
Life consists not in holding good cards, but in playing those cards you hold well.
Some people want it to happen, some wish it would happen, others make it happen. -Michael Jordan
Pain is nothing compared to what it feels like to quit. -Unknown
Don't be a spectator, don't let life pass you by. -Lou Holtz
If you are determined enough & willing to pay the price, you can get it done. -Mike Ditka
I've always believed that if you put in the work, the results will come. -Michael Jordan
It is not what happens to you but how you respond to what happens to you.
The most rewarding things you do in life are often the ones that look like they cannot be done. -Arnold Palmer
It's lack of faith that makes people afraid of meeting challenges, and I believed in myself. -Muhammed Ali
If you're not making mistakes, then you're not doing anything. -John Wooden
Success is peace of mind which is a direct result of knowing u did your best to become the best that u are capable of being. -John Wooden
Go after your dream, no matter how unattainable others think it is. -Linda Mastandrea
Courage is resistance to fear, mastery of fear - not absence of fear.
I am the greatest; I said that even before I knew I was. -Muhammad Ali
It is better to look ahead and prepare than to look back and regret. -Jackie Joyner-Kersee
Be strong in body, clean in mind, lofty in ideals. -James Naismith
Remember happiness doesn't depend upon who you are or what you have; it depends solely on what you think. -Dale Carnegie
Excellence is not a singular act but a habit. You are what you do repeatedly. -Shaquille O'Neal
You have to expect things of yourself before you can do them. -Michael Jordan
It's not the load that breaks you down, it's the way you carry it. -Lou Holtz
Today I will do what others won't, so tomorrow I can accomplish what others can't. -Jerry Rice
The more I practice, the luckier I get. -Jerry Barber
We either make ourselves miserable, or we make ourselves happy. The amount of work is the same. -Carlos Castaneda
There are 3 types of baseball players: those who make it happen, those who watch it happen, & those who wonder what happens. -Tommy Lasorda
Anything is possible. You can be told that you have a 90-percent chance or a 50-percent chance or a 1-percent chance, but you have to believe, and you have to fight. -Lance Armstrong
The superior man blames himself. The inferior man blames others. -Don Shula
It does not matter how many times you get knocked down, but how many times you get up. -Vince Lombardi
The man who wins, is the man who thinks he can. -Vince Lombardi
We all at certain times in our lives find ourselves broken. True strength is found in picking up the pieces
Adversity causes some men to break; others to break records. -William Arthur Ward
Life is not about waiting for the storm to pass, It is about learning to dance in the rain.
I've got a theory that if you give 100% all of the time, somehow things will work out in the end. -Larry Bird
Resolve never to quit, never to give up, no matter what the situation. -Jack Nicklaus
Understand that the right to choose your own path is a sacred privilege. Use it. Dwell in possibility. -Oprah
If it wasn't hard, everyone would do it. It's the hard that makes it great. -Tom Hanks
We ask ourselves, Who am I to be brilliant, gorgeous,talented, fabulous? Actually, who are you not to be? -Marianne Williamson
I can accept failure, everyone fails at something. But I can't accept not trying. -Michael Jordan
The will to succeed is important, but what's more important is the will to prepare. -Bobby Knight
There's always somebody saying you can't do it, and those people have to be ignored. -Bill Cartwright
We have two options, medically & emotionally: give up, or Fight Like Hell. -Lance Armstrong
Things turn out best for the people who make the best of the way things turn out. -John Wooden
Nobody really cares if you’re miserable, so you might as well be happy.
A winner never stops trying. -Tom Landry
I am not afraid... I was born to do this. - Joan of Arc... Faith makes all things possible... Believe!!!
Change your thoughts, change your life!
It always seems impossible until its done. -Nelson Mandela
The greatest glory in living, lies not in never falling, but in rising every time we fall. -Nelson Mandela
The more you sweat in practice, the less you bleed in battle. -Unknown
Success is the sum of small efforts, repeated day in & day out. -Robert Collier
You have to believe in yourself when no one else does- that makes you a winner right there. -Venus Williams
If you don't risk anything, you risk even more. -Erica Jong
You don't win once in a while, you don't do things right once in a while, you do them right all the time. Winning is habit. -Vince Lombardi
Setting a goal is not the main thing. It is deciding how you will go about achieving it & staying with that plan. -Tom Landry
Most people never run far enough on their first wind to find out they've got a second. -William James
The essential thing in life is not conquering but fighting well. -Pierre de Coubertin
Life is ten percent what happens to you and ninety percent how you respond to it. -Lou Holtz
Trust yourself. Create the kind of self that you will be happy to live with all your life. -Golda Meir
The difference between a successful person & others is not a lack of strength or knowledge, but rather in a lack of will. -Vince Lombardi
I've failed over & over & over again in my life & that is why I succeed. -Michael Jordan
Smooth seas do not make skillful sailors. -African proverb
The first step before anyone else in the world believes it is that you have to believe it. -Will smith
Winners, I am convinced, imagine their dreams first. They want it with all their heart & expect it to come true. -Joe Montana
Don't count the days, make the days count -Muhammad Ali
As you walk down the fairway of life you must smell the roses, for you only get to play one round. -Ben Hogan
I had rather attempt something great & fail, than to attempt nothing at all & succeed. -Robert H. Schuller
People too weak to follow their own dreams will always find a way to discourage yours. Live with Passion!
You see things & you say, why? But I dream things that never were & I say, why not? -George Bernard Shaw
The biggest adventure you can take is to live the life of your dreams. -Oprah
We do not quit playing because we grow old, we grow old because we quit playing.-Oliver Wendell Holmes
For every minute you are angry you lose sixty seconds of happiness -Ralph Waldo Emerson

A winner never stops trying. -Tom Landry
You're never a loser until you quit trying. -Mike Ditka
Without self-discipline, success is impossible, period. -Lou Holtz
Life isn't about finding yourself, it's about creating yourself. -Unknown
People of accomplishment rarely sat back and let things happen to them. They went out and happened to things. - Leonardo da Vinci
Never let your head hang down. Never give up and sit down and grieve. Find another way. -Satchel Paige

For the cynics & the skeptics, I'm sorry for you. I'm sorry you can't dream big & I'm sorry you don't believe in miracles -Lance Armstrong.
One day, you'll be just a memory for some people. Do your best to be a good one.